Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.385118 0.503040 0.631651 0.780311 0.945586 1.122108 1.323390
2025-05-11 0.239790 0.398717 0.591156 0.831361 1.114951 1.432440 1.808734
2025-05-18 0.154140 0.322073 0.544434 0.838184 1.199121 1.615056 2.119159
2025-05-25 0.079169 0.233525 0.463869 0.788740 1.205053 1.698711 2.309770
2025-06-01 0.032476 0.163149 0.390590 0.734694 1.194054 1.753183 2.458199
2025-06-08 0.011055 0.120738 0.347278 0.712566 1.216977 1.843638 2.644928
2025-06-15 0.003291 0.100203 0.333806 0.728820 1.287187 1.990374 2.897687
2025-06-22 0.000017 0.075576 0.306371 0.720389 1.321703 2.090580 3.092529
2025-06-29 NaN 0.052677 0.274438 0.700551 1.337679 2.165223 3.254441
2025-07-06 NaN 0.047694 0.279681 0.739005 1.434019 2.342404 3.542717
2025-07-13 NaN 0.045085 0.289762 0.785094 1.541026 2.533412 3.848329
2025-07-20 NaN 0.041839 0.297247 0.826501 1.641284 2.715712 4.143266
2025-07-27 NaN 0.043942 0.321259 0.899653 1.792213 2.970629 4.537515
2025-08-03 NaN 0.040232 0.328657 0.945077 1.904727 3.177350 4.874103
2025-08-10 NaN 0.030975 0.316393 0.954950 1.964938 3.314870 5.123295
2025-08-17 NaN 0.015102 0.270735 0.901268 1.930052 3.325786 5.212324
2025-08-24 NaN 0.004794 0.226423 0.843399 1.884988 3.320448 5.278566
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001140 0.201950 0.819546 1.888522 3.378092 5.422946
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000362 0.198253 0.837048 1.955203 3.520894 5.676180
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.182736 0.827974 1.979716 3.605883 5.854889
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.162832 0.806619 1.983562 3.661793 5.995552
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.170607 0.847998 2.087478 3.855521 6.314665
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.181851 0.897499 2.204541 4.067542 6.657677